| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
884 |
0.485 |
$428.98 |
$-57.39 |
-11.8% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
789 |
0.535 |
$422.07 |
$71.93 |
+20.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
551 |
0.455 |
$250.68 |
$31.88 |
+14.6% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
285 |
0.835 |
$237.97 |
$58.45 |
+32.6% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
862 |
0.276 |
$237.44 |
$171.28 |
+258.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
235 |
0.985 |
$231.36 |
$2.00 |
+0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
551 |
0.405 |
$223.13 |
$4.34 |
+2.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
862 |
0.230 |
$198.23 |
$-14.21 |
-6.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
862 |
0.200 |
$171.94 |
$126.05 |
+274.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
874 |
0.125 |
$109.27 |
$-282.08 |
-72.1% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.890 |
$89.00 |
$-3.55 |
-3.8% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
No |
332 |
0.180 |
$59.68 |
$-19.29 |
-24.4% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
58 |
0.885 |
$51.45 |
$8.28 |
+19.2% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.23 |
$34.38 |
+231.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
862 |
0.054 |
$46.54 |
$34.55 |
+288.3% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
Yes |
69 |
0.509 |
$35.15 |
$2.46 |
+7.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
35 |
0.991 |
$34.67 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? |
No |
33 |
0.995 |
$33.12 |
$0.68 |
+2.1% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30? |
No |
33 |
0.989 |
$32.93 |
$1.96 |
+6.3% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
No |
237 |
0.138 |
$32.62 |
$-25.70 |
-44.1% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30? |
No |
33 |
0.925 |
$30.80 |
$1.17 |
+3.9% |
| Will Yakult Brothers win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament |
No |
40 |
0.696 |
$27.82 |
$-1.79 |
-6.0% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? |
Yes |
103 |
0.258 |
$26.52 |
$-6.77 |
-20.3% |
| Will JL Find a Team Before September? |
No |
74 |
0.340 |
$25.05 |
$23.58 |
+1600.0% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? |
Yes |
103 |
0.199 |
$20.50 |
$8.30 |
+68.1% |