tony90125
0x397e869ca7f852045b0f66e1eb49b0004081fd1d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$56
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
3W / 0L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
16W / 2L
Trades (30d)
18
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.62
avg win $1
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,878 · all-time $489,304
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
12,407 |
0.961 |
$11,917.09 |
$908.03 |
+8.2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
9,101 |
0.942 |
$8,568.90 |
$110.24 |
+1.3% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
8,476 |
0.915 |
$7,755.22 |
$346.57 |
+4.7% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
6,209 |
0.923 |
$5,733.63 |
$439.81 |
+8.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
5,488 |
0.935 |
$5,131.70 |
$234.88 |
+4.8% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? |
No |
34 |
0.994 |
$34.28 |
$0.79 |
+2.4% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.881 |
$17.62 |
$-1.38 |
-7.3% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.967 |
$14.56 |
$1.00 |
+7.4% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.935 |
$9.36 |
$-0.34 |
-3.6% |