lranon2nd
0x396f35c4d4f84c0a6c5f3b13e40e1de550367f78
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
7W / 0L
Trades (30d)
7
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.64
avg win $1
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2 · all-time $4,569,773
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5,703 |
0.790 |
$4,508.17 |
$1,656.70 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,703 |
0.209 |
$1,194.76 |
$-1,656.70 |
-58.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
510 |
0.675 |
$344.24 |
$53.75 |
+18.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
7,779 |
0.022 |
$175.03 |
$-2,820.96 |
-94.2% |
| Enhanced Breakers 1: Thor Bjornsson to Break Deadlift Record? |
No |
77 |
0.995 |
$76.51 |
$0.35 |
+0.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.037 |
$75.00 |
$-61.00 |
-44.9% |