PnL (30d)

−$19

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-32.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 3L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 4L

Trades (30d)

4

across 2 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$18.83

· loss $19

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $19 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.8% 21W/13L	21	$8,492
💵 Economy	—	4	$295
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$441
₿ Crypto	—	2	$146
🏛 Politics	—	1	$92

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	833	0.935	$778.86	$14.13	+1.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	577	0.940	$542.36	$89.60	+19.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	324	0.900	$291.60	$79.79	+37.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	298	0.835	$248.83	$-26.40	-9.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	203	0.940	$190.38	$40.52	+27.0%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	150	0.890	$133.50	$26.22	+24.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	200	0.625	$125.00	$-1.00	-0.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	113	0.985	$110.91	$7.32	+7.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	50	0.971	$48.55	$6.05	+14.2%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	110	0.410	$45.10	$-12.10	-21.2%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,199	0.009	$11.39	$-62.39	-84.6%