| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
35,000 |
0.790 |
$27,667.50 |
$10,167.50 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
35,000 |
0.209 |
$7,332.50 |
$-10,167.50 |
-58.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,469 |
0.987 |
$2,435.47 |
$15.45 |
+0.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.925 |
$2,312.51 |
$117.50 |
+5.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.915 |
$1,830.00 |
$110.00 |
+6.4% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? |
Yes |
2,036 |
0.825 |
$1,679.63 |
$-7.81 |
-0.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,338 |
0.675 |
$1,578.39 |
$189.07 |
+13.6% |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? |
Yes |
1,753 |
0.850 |
$1,489.74 |
$213.19 |
+16.7% |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
3,846 |
0.290 |
$1,115.30 |
$-48.54 |
-4.2% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
20,977 |
0.045 |
$954.46 |
$200.77 |
+26.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,948 |
0.310 |
$913.78 |
$-469.35 |
-33.9% |
| Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week? |
No |
847 |
0.910 |
$770.90 |
$38.33 |
+5.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? |
No |
832 |
0.865 |
$719.33 |
$21.00 |
+3.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
815 |
0.880 |
$717.56 |
$268.55 |
+59.8% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? |
Yes |
1,401 |
0.500 |
$700.55 |
$-90.44 |
-11.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.785 |
$628.00 |
$212.00 |
+51.0% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
No |
1,231 |
0.500 |
$615.31 |
$125.91 |
+25.7% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
4,992 |
0.115 |
$574.09 |
$-196.16 |
-25.5% |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
No |
555 |
0.791 |
$438.82 |
$10.02 |
+2.3% |
| Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
602 |
0.715 |
$430.09 |
$-4.41 |
-1.0% |
| Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
442 |
0.960 |
$424.20 |
$52.59 |
+14.2% |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
1,971 |
0.215 |
$423.68 |
$-72.30 |
-14.6% |
| Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week? |
No |
519 |
0.765 |
$397.09 |
$16.84 |
+4.4% |
| Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
Yes |
490 |
0.755 |
$370.10 |
$39.35 |
+11.9% |
| Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? |
No |
396 |
0.915 |
$362.52 |
$20.38 |
+6.0% |