0x38F2DE66652B6600646e0fe8FA57F1980C118690-1772484604408
0x38f2de66652b6600646e0fe8fa57f1980c118690
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$84
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+30.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
17W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
77%
17W / 5L
Trades (30d)
22
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$9.28
avg win $15 · loss $9
Profit Factor
5.54
$102 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
1.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $957 · all-time $15,151
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
58.0%
80W/58L
|
58 |
$3,865 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
2W/0L
|
1 |
$34 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
31 |
0.100 |
$3.12 |
$-16.88 |
-84.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
77 |
0.001 |
$0.04 |
$-19.96 |
-99.8% |