| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
34,205 |
0.539 |
$18,453.53 |
$5,067.35 |
+37.9% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
15,081 |
0.680 |
$10,255.08 |
$2,225.70 |
+27.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
10,010 |
0.643 |
$6,441.43 |
$676.91 |
+11.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
20,580 |
0.298 |
$6,143.14 |
$3,861.89 |
+169.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
47,062 |
0.125 |
$5,882.71 |
$-2,342.12 |
-28.5% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
18,525 |
0.215 |
$3,982.91 |
$-5,604.52 |
-58.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
10,320 |
0.335 |
$3,457.20 |
$330.69 |
+10.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
21,797 |
0.135 |
$2,942.59 |
$-1,496.26 |
-33.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? |
No |
2,814 |
0.960 |
$2,700.03 |
$123.75 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? |
Yes |
2,795 |
0.945 |
$2,641.27 |
$188.13 |
+7.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
7,830 |
0.325 |
$2,544.75 |
$117.39 |
+4.8% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
7,813 |
0.315 |
$2,461.11 |
$-709.67 |
-22.4% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? |
No |
2,531 |
0.930 |
$2,354.14 |
$605.46 |
+34.6% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? |
No |
2,500 |
0.915 |
$2,287.50 |
$831.94 |
+57.2% |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
2,327 |
0.950 |
$2,210.63 |
$125.26 |
+6.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
5,426 |
0.395 |
$2,143.22 |
$-11.25 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? |
Yes |
2,278 |
0.938 |
$2,136.06 |
$39.87 |
+1.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat? |
Yes |
2,282 |
0.935 |
$2,133.20 |
$34.22 |
+1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
3,893 |
0.545 |
$2,121.68 |
$-447.43 |
-17.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? |
Yes |
2,108 |
0.990 |
$2,085.97 |
$146.51 |
+7.6% |
| Deel IPO before 2027? |
No |
2,107 |
0.955 |
$2,012.51 |
$1,153.84 |
+134.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.974 |
$1,947.00 |
$147.00 |
+8.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat? |
Yes |
2,074 |
0.935 |
$1,938.72 |
$31.10 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat? |
Yes |
2,002 |
0.935 |
$1,872.34 |
$30.04 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? |
Yes |
1,956 |
0.943 |
$1,843.53 |
$44.01 |
+2.4% |