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Trader

0x38e2f5d6d1693a365e22b7ca0c715f8d92da2909
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$341
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$40
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
3,891W / 3,052L · 99 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
3,943W / 3,097L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
7,042
across 965 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$0.36
avg win $13 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.95
$7,055 won / $7,396 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$297
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,227 · all-time $917,712

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.6% 12,290W/10,201L 3429 $57,603
🌤 Weather 57.6% 741W/546L 236 $2,871
₿ Crypto 60.0% 3W/2L 5 $25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

112 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? No 87 1.000 $87.21 $41.21 +89.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? No 84 0.997 $83.53 $26.53 +46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? No 63 0.965 $60.74 $7.75 +14.6%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? No 72 0.810 $57.93 $5.93 +11.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5? No 82 0.695 $57.06 $-0.94 -1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? No 56 1.000 $55.83 $10.83 +24.1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? Yes 57 0.950 $54.61 $39.61 +264.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? Yes 80 0.635 $50.56 $25.56 +102.2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 48 0.820 $39.00 $4.41 +12.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? No 38 1.000 $38.25 $7.25 +23.4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 38 1.000 $38.09 $6.09 +19.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 36 1.000 $35.70 $20.70 +138.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 41 0.825 $34.11 $4.11 +13.7%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 124 0.270 $33.50 $4.25 +14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 45 0.735 $33.01 $-1.99 -5.7%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? No 52 0.615 $32.03 $1.03 +3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5? No 40 0.775 $31.35 $-0.65 -2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 104 0.265 $27.58 $6.58 +31.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 25 1.000 $24.98 $11.03 +79.1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? No 58 0.410 $23.60 $-1.40 -5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? Yes 104 0.220 $22.89 $2.28 +11.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? Yes 22 0.935 $20.78 $16.78 +419.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 19 1.000 $18.88 $12.88 +214.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 22 0.815 $18.02 $3.02 +20.1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? Yes 35 0.515 $17.86 $1.86 +11.6%