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Trader

0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$24
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
30W / 24L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
33W / 24L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
59
across 18 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.51
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
4.84
$30 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
2.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,854 · all-time $462,787

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.4% 307W/201L 472 $42,744
⚽ Sports 55.7% 39W/31L 91 $4,152
🎬 Culture 10.3% 4W/35L 49 $3,288
🏛 Politics 10.0% 2W/18L 26 $1,841
🤖 Tech 25.0% 1W/3L 11 $1,416
💵 Economy 5.3% 1W/18L 6 $614
₿ Crypto 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $351

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 848 0.992 $840.85 $44.97 +5.7%
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 634 0.935 $592.69 $53.19 +9.9%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No 460 0.902 $415.15 $-8.08 -1.9%
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No 419 0.956 $400.79 $-5.47 -1.3%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 520 0.758 $394.37 $-41.13 -9.4%
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title? No 366 0.990 $361.84 $40.77 +12.7%
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No 370 0.843 $311.72 $-20.25 -6.1%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? No 327 0.939 $307.40 $-8.85 -2.8%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 360 0.850 $306.00 $69.20 +29.2%
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 356 0.855 $304.32 $-2.60 -0.8%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 300 0.966 $289.65 $4.35 +1.5%
Will Gabby Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 292 0.980 $285.96 $3.70 +1.3%
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? No 572 0.498 $285.11 $-198.68 -41.1%
Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? No 284 0.991 $281.44 $0.57 +0.2%
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? No 261 0.969 $253.28 $9.19 +3.8%
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 240 0.904 $216.96 $-16.20 -6.9%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 220 0.983 $216.26 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 411 0.510 $209.67 $-80.64 -27.8%
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes 230 0.908 $208.84 $40.30 +23.9%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 211 0.988 $208.33 $6.96 +3.5%
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No 236 0.871 $205.97 $-10.31 -4.8%
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 74.5 209 0.956 $199.63 $20.21 +11.3%
Will the Los Angeles Angels clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 200 0.989 $197.80 $-1.40 -0.7%
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? No 200 0.984 $196.80 $19.80 +11.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 200 0.970 $193.90 $12.80 +7.1%