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Trader leaderboard/vivi4024

vivi4024

0x38a824b952cc01742de735835f55d5204b02865a
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$13
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$114
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11W / 10L · 196 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
57W / 127L · 33 open
Trades (30d)
217
across 51 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$4.17
avg win $7 · loss $1
Profit Factor
11.61
$14 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
5.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,749 · all-time $350,568

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 29.7% 46W/109L 269 $26,623
🏛 Politics 20 $1,032
💵 Economy 19 $1,316
⚽ Sports 17 $1,704
🎬 Culture 11 $439
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 9 $505
🔬 Science 1 $25
₿ Crypto 1 $12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 4,258 0.745 $3,172.22 $1.33 +0.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 551 0.375 $206.63 $-7.89 -3.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No 103 0.595 $61.13 $-0.51 -0.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 104 0.385 $40.04 $-4.68 -10.5%
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? Yes 70 0.572 $40.03 $-1.83 -4.4%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? No 63 0.635 $40.01 $0.31 +0.8%
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? No 71 0.538 $38.23 $-3.66 -8.7%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 56 0.677 $37.91 $-1.96 -4.9%
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? No 63 0.580 $36.54 $-3.15 -7.9%
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No 46 0.695 $31.73 $-1.15 -3.5%
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes 83 0.350 $29.05 $-10.79 -27.1%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes 102 0.265 $27.03 $-22.95 -45.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 146 0.184 $26.92 $-0.07 -0.3%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 78 0.336 $26.14 $-10.48 -28.6%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes 205 0.115 $23.56 $-6.99 -22.9%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 53 0.390 $20.64 $-1.98 -8.7%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 108 0.189 $20.40 $-0.49 -2.3%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? No 54 0.360 $19.50 $-17.46 -47.2%
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? Yes 64 0.298 $19.10 $-0.74 -3.7%
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No 69 0.210 $14.48 $-2.07 -12.5%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes 115 0.125 $14.38 $-7.47 -34.2%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes 83 0.165 $13.63 $0.41 +3.1%
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? Yes 102 0.095 $9.67 $0.51 +5.6%
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? Yes 31 0.280 $8.71 $-8.43 -49.2%
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 30 0.217 $6.51 $-5.53 -45.9%