PnL (30d)

−$909

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,047

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

88W / 114L · 62 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

115W / 149L

Trades (30d)

264

across 55 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$20.21

avg win $95 · loss $90

Profit Factor

0.64

$1,618 won / $2,528 lost

Reward / Risk

1.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 88W/114L	55	$12,871
🤖 Tech	—	1	$11

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,210	0.540	$653.40	$90.20	+16.0%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	650	0.725	$471.25	$68.25	+16.9%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	500	0.786	$393.25	$103.55	+35.7%
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	296	0.956	$283.07	$20.27	+7.7%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	7,307	0.034	$244.80	$-1,455.00	-85.6%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	400	0.535	$214.20	$77.82	+57.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	200	0.961	$192.10	$24.10	+14.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	125	0.963	$120.31	$20.31	+20.3%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	300	0.315	$94.50	$-19.50	-17.1%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.890	$89.00	$57.00	+178.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	75	0.906	$67.95	$15.45	+29.4%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	600	0.085	$51.00	$-281.99	-84.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	100	0.465	$46.44	$-25.95	-35.8%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	600	0.040	$23.70	$-30.30	-56.1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	400	0.055	$22.00	$-101.00	-82.1%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1,191	0.015	$17.28	$6.55	+61.1%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	1,000	0.017	$16.50	$-18.50	-52.9%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1,800	0.007	$13.50	$0.51	+3.9%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.110	$11.00	$-58.00	-84.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	10	0.945	$9.46	$0.90	+10.5%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	10	0.927	$9.28	$1.07	+13.1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	190	0.037	$7.14	$-32.86	-82.1%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	179	0.013	$2.24	$-28.22	-92.6%