PnL (30d)

−$26

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

180W / 377L · 424 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

307W / 404L · 270 open

Trades (30d)

981

across 95 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$0.46

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.33

$13 won / $38 lost

Reward / Risk

0.99

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.5% 3,495W/33,289L	16111	$2,533
₿ Crypto	0.9% 51W/5,324L	2656	$146
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	66	$87
🏛 Politics	39.5% 147W/225L	62	$109
🎬 Culture	53.4% 63W/55L	38	$62
💵 Economy	5.2% 7W/128L	37	$57
🤖 Tech	89.9% 161W/18L	11	$16
🔬 Science	—	3	$4
🌤 Weather	—	2	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

176 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	972	0.002	$1.46	$0.49	+50.0%
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	951	0.002	$1.43	$0.48	+50.0%
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	856	0.002	$1.28	$0.43	+50.0%
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	814	0.002	$1.22	$0.41	+50.0%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	754	0.002	$1.13	$0.38	+50.0%
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	748	0.002	$1.12	$0.37	+50.0%
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	726	0.002	$1.09	$0.36	+50.0%
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	695	0.002	$1.04	$0.35	+50.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,000	0.001	$1.00	$-1.00	-50.0%
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	633	0.002	$0.95	$0.32	+50.0%