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Trader

0x386f84a1684b46e99b488a1f45b5f97e93c3db83
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$78
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
29W / 15L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
34W / 15L
Trades (30d)
49
across 14 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$7.12
avg win $13 · loss $0
Profit Factor
73.45
$79 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
61.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,333,217

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.4% 544W/911L 699 $694
⚽ Sports 53.5% 23W/20L 26 $24
🏛 Politics 46.2% 6W/7L 6 $7
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/8L 5 $3
🎬 Culture 46.2% 6W/7L 5 $7
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 43 0.490 $20.88 $20.45 +4800.0%
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 14 0.515 $6.95 $6.41 +1187.5%
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: NEC O/U 2.5 Corners Under 5 0.500 $2.66 $2.34 +733.3%
Will episode not air? Yes 33 0.035 $1.12 $0.39 +53.7%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 11 0.101 $1.09 $0.87 +402.5%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 11 0.101 $1.09 $0.87 +402.5%
Panathinaikós AO vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 2.5 Over 17 0.036 $0.62 $0.11 +21.6%
Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco: Both Teams to Score No 1 0.445 $0.47 $0.41 +641.4%
Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 5.5 Over 1 0.420 $0.44 $0.41 +1299.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? Yes 13 0.028 $0.36 $0.32 +831.8%
LoL: ⁠Hooligans vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 1 Winner ⁠Hooligans 36 0.005 $0.18 $-0.38 -67.9%
FC Thun vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5 Under 3 0.050 $0.17 $0.00 +0.0%
Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026? Yes 12 0.013 $0.16 $-0.06 -27.8%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 36 0.004 $0.13 $-0.29 -69.2%
Will anyone say "King" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3? No 1 0.080 $0.08 $0.05 +166.2%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 18 0.004 $0.08 $-0.25 -75.8%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 33 0.002 $0.07 $-0.49 -88.3%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 7 0.004 $0.03 $-0.12 -77.5%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 21 0.001 $0.02 $-0.39 -95.0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 36 0.001 $0.02 $-0.40 -95.6%