PnL (30d)

−$79

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

34W / 48L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

41W / 48L

Trades (30d)

89

across 11 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$7.92

avg win $104 · loss $82

Profit Factor

0.84

$416 won / $495 lost

Reward / Risk

1.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.5% 34W/48L	11	$1,679
🏛 Politics	—	1	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	124	0.115	$14.22	$2.93	+26.0%