PnL (30d)

+$196

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$31

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

74W / 34L · 98 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

119W / 85L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

206

across 56 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$5.93

avg win $20 · loss $13

Profit Factor

2.04

$384 won / $188 lost

Reward / Risk

1.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$108

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	68.5% 74W/34L	56	$16,135
🏛 Politics	—	2	$2,065

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	353	0.165	$58.24	$-1.76	-2.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	1,706	0.032	$54.58	$4.59	+9.2%