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Trader leaderboard/t57vk6tx8rwb

t57vk6tx8rwb

0x38657069859c7359d8324fe652907529ea85fcbe
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,236
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
299W / 165L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
311W / 171L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
483
across 109 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$11.77
avg win $58 · loss $50
Profit Factor
1.55
$3,471 won / $2,235 lost
Reward / Risk
1.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$313
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,810 · all-time $910,697

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.6% 786W/359L 226 $23,041
⚽ Sports 86.0% 129W/21L 32 $4,062
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $316
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

187 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes 2,789 0.060 $167.33 $-82.67 -33.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 1,116 0.114 $126.67 $-123.32 -49.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 143 0.845 $120.71 $20.71 +20.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 137 0.853 $116.62 $16.62 +16.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 105 0.979 $103.22 $3.22 +3.2%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 104 0.978 $101.69 $1.69 +1.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 108 0.942 $101.35 $1.35 +1.3%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 145 0.605 $87.68 $-12.32 -12.3%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 143 0.600 $85.71 $-14.29 -14.3%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 53 0.998 $53.06 $28.06 +112.2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 52 0.979 $50.70 $0.70 +1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 51 0.980 $50.12 $0.13 +0.3%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 51 0.979 $50.01 $0.02 +0.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 53 0.914 $48.37 $-1.63 -3.3%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 46 1.000 $45.72 $20.72 +82.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 61 0.723 $44.05 $-5.95 -11.9%
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title? No 36 1.000 $36.31 $11.31 +45.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 41 0.883 $35.89 $2.58 +7.7%
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? No 38 0.895 $34.42 $9.42 +37.7%
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 32 0.997 $31.96 $6.96 +27.8%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 31 1.000 $30.78 $5.78 +23.1%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? No 28 1.000 $27.58 $2.58 +10.3%
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No 27 0.991 $26.34 $1.34 +5.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 30 0.885 $26.34 $1.34 +5.4%
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 26 1.000 $25.55 $0.55 +2.2%