PnL (30d)

−$88

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

245W / 60L · 229 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

414W / 120L

Trades (30d)

534

across 43 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$2.58

avg win $19 · loss $42

Profit Factor

0.83

$419 won / $507 lost

Reward / Risk

0.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$184

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.3% 245W/60L	43	$14,643
🏛 Politics	—	3	$327
₿ Crypto	—	2	$212
⚽ Sports	100.0% 9W/0L	2	$73

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	4,389	0.275	$1,206.91	$-63.34	-5.0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	254	0.929	$236.56	$13.77	+6.2%
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	969	0.235	$227.76	$-15.69	-6.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	201	0.835	$167.80	$4.46	+2.7%
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?	Yes	70	0.825	$57.75	$-1.90	-3.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	295	0.145	$42.72	$-56.93	-57.1%