| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
9,524 |
0.845 |
$8,047.71 |
$1,606.61 |
+24.9% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
2,050 |
0.999 |
$2,046.95 |
$47.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
2,021 |
0.955 |
$1,928.64 |
$-12.30 |
-0.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,781 |
0.981 |
$1,745.89 |
$50.75 |
+3.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
1,715 |
0.953 |
$1,634.44 |
$-26.56 |
-1.6% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
1,709 |
0.925 |
$1,581.25 |
$102.08 |
+6.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,700 |
0.915 |
$1,555.49 |
$63.44 |
+4.3% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
1,503 |
0.952 |
$1,430.33 |
$67.28 |
+4.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,900 |
0.740 |
$1,404.76 |
$-52.99 |
-3.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,704 |
0.745 |
$1,269.85 |
$269.84 |
+27.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
1,152 |
0.985 |
$1,133.81 |
$22.83 |
+2.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
1,149 |
0.920 |
$1,056.96 |
$109.72 |
+11.6% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,050 |
0.999 |
$1,048.25 |
$48.26 |
+4.8% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
1,169 |
0.890 |
$1,040.42 |
$166.10 |
+19.0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,041 |
0.987 |
$1,026.90 |
$6.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,068 |
0.927 |
$990.67 |
$-9.34 |
-0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.931 |
$930.98 |
$-4.11 |
-0.4% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
1,177 |
0.746 |
$877.45 |
$96.86 |
+12.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.961 |
$864.45 |
$114.35 |
+15.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,270 |
0.675 |
$857.25 |
$65.41 |
+8.3% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
845 |
0.976 |
$824.39 |
$-3.37 |
-0.4% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
820 |
0.998 |
$817.95 |
$26.64 |
+3.4% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
803 |
0.998 |
$801.24 |
$13.81 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
935 |
0.823 |
$769.79 |
$283.54 |
+58.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
741 |
0.963 |
$713.23 |
$11.32 |
+1.6% |