| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
600 |
0.945 |
$566.99 |
$23.00 |
+4.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
300 |
0.883 |
$265.05 |
$115.05 |
+76.7% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
327 |
0.675 |
$221.20 |
$-54.32 |
-19.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.955 |
$95.50 |
$2.50 |
+2.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
650 |
0.135 |
$87.42 |
$-237.57 |
-73.1% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
103 |
0.715 |
$73.64 |
$19.02 |
+34.8% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
63 |
0.765 |
$48.49 |
$3.49 |
+7.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.835 |
$41.75 |
$7.25 |
+21.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
42 |
0.945 |
$39.90 |
$1.48 |
+3.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.117 |
$34.95 |
$-115.05 |
-76.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.925 |
$20.11 |
$0.11 |
+0.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
18 |
0.927 |
$16.46 |
$1.46 |
+9.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
15 |
0.978 |
$14.86 |
$0.16 |
+1.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
16 |
0.905 |
$14.81 |
$1.04 |
+7.5% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
15 |
0.966 |
$14.62 |
$0.62 |
+4.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
15 |
0.935 |
$14.40 |
$0.48 |
+3.5% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
49 |
0.290 |
$14.09 |
$-14.79 |
-51.2% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
16 |
0.865 |
$13.56 |
$-0.32 |
-2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? |
No |
14 |
0.935 |
$13.09 |
$-0.21 |
-1.6% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? |
No |
14 |
0.880 |
$12.50 |
$-0.50 |
-3.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.825 |
$11.94 |
$0.15 |
+1.3% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.971 |
$10.70 |
$0.70 |
+7.0% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.955 |
$10.61 |
$0.61 |
+6.1% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next? |
No |
10 |
0.999 |
$10.30 |
$0.30 |
+3.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.855 |
$10.16 |
$1.25 |
+14.0% |