PnL (30d)

−$25

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$30

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

24W / 30L · 446 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

266W / 221L · 13 open

Trades (30d)

500

across 227 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.32

avg win $1 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.21

$6 won / $31 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.0% 66W/84L	274	$6,091
🏛 Politics	100.0% 7W/0L	85	$39
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	12	$6
⚽ Sports	—	8	$2
🎬 Culture	—	7	$3
🤖 Tech	—	2	$1
🌤 Weather	—	1	$0
🔬 Science	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-0.41	-83.3%
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-0.25	-75.0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6	0.007	$0.04	$-0.07	-62.5%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3	0.015	$0.04	$-0.02	-26.1%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	3	0.014	$0.04	$0.04	+598.3%
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	84	0.001	$0.04	$-0.04	-50.0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	23	0.002	$0.03	$-0.13	-78.6%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	22	0.002	$0.03	$-0.06	-62.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2	0.015	$0.03	$0.00	+10.1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	59	0.001	$0.03	$-0.15	-83.4%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	2	0.011	$0.02	$-0.01	-17.9%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	46	0.001	$0.02	$-0.43	-95.0%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	40	0.001	$0.02	$-0.26	-92.8%
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	40	0.001	$0.02	$-0.06	-75.0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	2	0.011	$0.02	$0.01	+49.6%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	36	0.001	$0.02	$-0.05	-75.0%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.04	-75.0%
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	30	0.001	$0.01	$-0.25	-94.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1	0.013	$0.01	$-0.02	-58.0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	2	0.007	$0.01	$-0.01	-53.2%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-0.01	-50.0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-0.01	-50.0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6	0.001	$0.00	$-0.01	-75.0%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	6	0.001	$0.00	$-0.03	-91.7%
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4	0.001	$0.00	$-0.01	-83.5%