PnL (30d)

−$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$132

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

16W / 3L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

16W / 11L

Trades (30d)

27

across 9 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.51

avg win $24 · loss $38

Profit Factor

0.97

$73 won / $76 lost

Reward / Risk

0.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.2% 16W/3L	9	$1,766
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$561
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$561

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	430	0.805	$346.15	$-27.85	-7.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	400	0.745	$298.01	$-2.00	-0.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	90	0.893	$80.37	$-3.79	-4.5%