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Trader leaderboard/auramaur

auramaur

0x377d1939b32fefad321190085c0b28337275dddd
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$19
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
2W / 24L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
8W / 51L
Trades (30d)
59
across 12 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$4.84
avg win $7 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.26
$7 won / $26 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,425 · all-time $21,723

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.5% 54W/94L 167 $1,694
🏛 Politics 4 $46
💵 Economy 3 $28
🤖 Tech 2 $20
₿ Crypto 2 $20
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $10
⚽ Sports 1 $40

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

114 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire Welsh Fire 40 1.000 $39.98 $24.08 +151.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 45 0.845 $38.41 $1.70 +4.6%
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No 40 0.935 $37.40 $1.40 +3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat? Yes 355 0.085 $30.18 $-1.77 -5.6%
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes 53 0.545 $28.96 $7.70 +36.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No 30 0.949 $28.47 $3.27 +13.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 25 0.961 $24.29 $0.60 +2.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? Yes 308 0.075 $23.06 $-1.54 -6.2%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 27 0.825 $22.26 $1.48 +7.1%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.910 $21.96 $5.86 +36.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 83 0.250 $20.83 $10.83 +108.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 50 0.411 $20.55 $10.55 +105.5%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No 23 0.860 $19.41 $0.45 +2.4%
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 20 0.957 $19.09 $2.73 +16.7%
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Yes 20 0.922 $18.44 $5.54 +42.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? No 121 0.150 $18.17 $6.27 +52.7%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 35 0.489 $17.25 $-4.45 -20.5%
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes 65 0.265 $17.19 $-2.27 -11.7%
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 26 0.595 $15.53 $4.97 +47.0%
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 20 0.775 $15.50 $0.40 +2.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.815 $13.80 $3.81 +38.1%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No 20 0.675 $13.50 $6.40 +90.1%
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 32 0.405 $13.14 $-5.85 -30.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No 20 0.653 $13.07 $0.27 +2.1%
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.930 $12.55 $0.31 +2.5%