PnL (30d)

−$853

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

93%

2,917W / 222L · 612 open

Win Return (30d)

88%

3,281W / 443L · 27 open

Trades (30d)

3,751

across 713 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.30

avg win $4 · loss $199

Profit Factor

0.73

$2,327 won / $3,180 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$100

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	92.9% 2,917W/222L	713	$599,173
💵 Economy	100.0% 10W/0L	19	$10,431
🏛 Politics	—	9	$5,998
🌤 Weather	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$4,249
⚽ Sports	83.3% 5W/1L	4	$321
🔬 Science	—	3	$4,102
₿ Crypto	—	3	$537
🎬 Culture	—	3	$692
🤖 Tech	—	1	$408

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	30,969	0.915	$28,336.34	$67.73	+0.2%
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	6,209	0.962	$5,973.20	$-29.08	-0.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	5,615	0.976	$5,477.11	$2.14	+0.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	3,216	0.964	$3,098.83	$-9.29	-0.3%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	2,896	0.963	$2,787.82	$1.53	+0.1%
Obama arrested before 2027?	No	1,560	0.967	$1,508.60	$-3.78	-0.2%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	1,168	0.969	$1,131.65	$-0.79	-0.1%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?	No	1,075	0.932	$1,002.43	$0.83	+0.1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	800	0.945	$756.00	$-4.00	-0.5%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	713	0.560	$399.12	$63.22	+18.8%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	540	0.720	$388.80	$-20.60	-5.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	294	0.970	$285.20	$0.26	+0.1%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	698	0.330	$230.48	$-153.40	-40.0%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?	No	230	0.948	$217.93	$-1.71	-0.8%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?	No	223	0.974	$216.89	$-0.03	-0.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	210	0.973	$204.16	$0.38	+0.2%
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	No	146	0.960	$140.55	$0.60	+0.4%
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?	No	119	0.970	$115.87	$0.05	+0.0%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?	No	84	0.964	$80.98	$-0.17	-0.2%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?	No	78	0.970	$75.91	$4.66	+6.5%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?	No	15	0.915	$13.72	$-0.23	-1.6%
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	11	0.973	$11.00	$0.01	+0.1%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	23	0.440	$10.00	$-1.14	-10.2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $210 in August?	Yes	30	0.029	$0.89	$-0.90	-50.4%