PnL (30d)

−$47

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$83

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

5W / 7L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

6W / 7L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

14

across 13 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$4.29

avg win $20 · loss $18

Profit Factor

0.63

$79 won / $127 lost

Reward / Risk

1.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$77

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.3% 22W/65L	63	$561
⚽ Sports	40.0% 4W/6L	10	$255
🏛 Politics	—	7	$12
🎬 Culture	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group	Dplus KIA Challengers	164	0.997	$163.00	$82.85	+103.4%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	75	0.972	$73.01	$0.53	+0.7%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	58	0.105	$6.09	$-5.51	-47.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	500	0.009	$4.50	$1.50	+50.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	400	0.009	$3.40	$0.20	+6.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	200	0.009	$1.70	$-0.10	-5.5%
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.45	$-0.25	-14.7%
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	200	0.007	$1.40	$0.40	+40.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	385	0.004	$1.35	$-0.19	-12.5%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.15	$0.05	+4.5%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	200	0.005	$1.10	$-0.50	-31.2%
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	Yes	47	0.016	$0.75	$-0.89	-54.3%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	109	0.006	$0.71	$-1.17	-62.3%
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.15	-18.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	200	0.003	$0.50	$-0.70	-58.3%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.45	$-1.25	-73.5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	95	0.004	$0.38	$-0.95	-71.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	108	0.004	$0.38	$-0.27	-41.7%
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.35	$-0.55	-61.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-0.50	-62.5%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	53	0.004	$0.24	$-0.40	-62.5%
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	33	0.007	$0.23	$0.10	+74.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-1.00	-83.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	272	0.001	$0.14	$-1.11	-89.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	70	0.002	$0.11	$-0.25	-70.0%