AndyFran
0x371473617d3064ed904cde2df3e90ad1e0be9ce3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
33W / 4L · 227 open
Win Return (30d)
94%
249W / 15L
Trades (30d)
264
across 17 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
−$1.52
avg win $1 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.32
$3 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,128 · all-time $429,927
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
400 |
0.987 |
$394.60 |
$13.10 |
+3.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.977 |
$97.65 |
$1.35 |
+1.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.968 |
$96.75 |
$-1.25 |
-1.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? |
No |
31 |
0.946 |
$29.74 |
$0.31 |
+1.1% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.800 |
$2.71 |
$-0.06 |
-2.0% |