pol76
0x36e7e560c4d4cf32926906d939a18cf91f8a0b6b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$1,078
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
431W / 51L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
465W / 86L
Trades (30d)
551
across 22 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
−$67.35
avg win $141 · loss $1,528
Profit Factor
0.65
$1,979 won / $3,056 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,355 · all-time $3,944,075
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
12,253 |
0.907 |
$11,113.82 |
$359.22 |
+3.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,647 |
0.395 |
$650.58 |
$-340.72 |
-34.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
541 |
0.735 |
$397.63 |
$-32.11 |
-7.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.815 |
$244.47 |
$-5.53 |
-2.2% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.915 |
$219.99 |
$4.41 |
+2.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.545 |
$163.48 |
$-24.50 |
-13.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.835 |
$83.50 |
$-5.50 |
-6.2% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Yes |
914 |
0.046 |
$42.05 |
$-193.27 |
-82.1% |