mw97
0x36da5ca5d1d4b79f1c2ebbb09be8c13834568218
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$322
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
2W / 32L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
37W / 46L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
87
across 8 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$0.61
avg win $37 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.97
$37 won / $38 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164 · all-time $1,731,875
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
Yes |
3,725 |
0.365 |
$1,359.62 |
$-490.14 |
-26.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.065 |
$162.50 |
$-87.50 |
-35.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Yes |
3,150 |
0.035 |
$108.66 |
$-133.04 |
-55.0% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
80 |
0.018 |
$1.40 |
$1.16 |
+483.3% |