PnL (30d)

−$747

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$230

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

862W / 585L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

881W / 585L

Trades (30d)

1,466

across 201 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$3.83

avg win $46 · loss $278

Profit Factor

0.91

$7,607 won / $8,354 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$822

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.6% 862W/585L	201	$50,442
🏛 Politics	60.9% 117W/75L	22	$5,524
🎬 Culture	60.9% 117W/75L	22	$5,524
💵 Economy	—	1	$112
🤖 Tech	—	1	$112

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.971	$2,911.50	$2,611.50	+870.5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.425	$1,700.00	$1,546.16	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.255	$1,020.00	$866.16	+563.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.178	$714.00	$560.16	+364.1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.075	$300.00	$146.16	+95.0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	200	0.615	$123.00	$11.00	+9.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.021	$84.00	$-69.84	-45.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.018	$70.00	$-83.84	-54.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	334	0.184	$61.56	$-20.52	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,779	0.029	$51.58	$-56.28	-52.2%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.006	$26.00	$-127.84	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.003	$10.00	$-143.84	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.002	$6.00	$-147.84	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.001	$2.00	$-74.92	-97.4%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-151.84	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.001	$1.50	$-298.50	-99.5%