PnL (30d)

+$6

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

98%

185W / 4L

Win Return (30d)

98%

185W / 4L

Trades (30d)

189

across 188 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.03

avg win $0 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.28

$28 won / $22 lost

Reward / Risk

0.03

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	97.4% 677W/18L	694	$3,648
🌤 Weather	97.9% 46W/1L	46	$230

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	100	0.816	$81.55	$31.55	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.184	$18.45	$-31.55	-63.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.21	$0.21	+4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.21	$0.16	+3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.995	$5.18	$0.17	+3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.985	$5.18	$0.18	+3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.15	$0.15	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.998	$5.14	$0.14	+2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.09	$0.10	+2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.09	$0.10	+2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.05	$0.05	+1.0%