| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
79,998 |
0.835 |
$66,797.92 |
$3,320.78 |
+5.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
17,734 |
0.770 |
$13,654.85 |
$1,509.43 |
+12.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
19,879 |
0.645 |
$12,822.27 |
$1,050.39 |
+8.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
12,100 |
0.999 |
$12,082.30 |
$3,876.88 |
+47.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
19,225 |
0.625 |
$12,015.88 |
$-2,679.98 |
-18.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
7,921 |
0.945 |
$7,484.95 |
$353.51 |
+5.0% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
5,803 |
0.962 |
$5,582.96 |
$121.93 |
+2.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
5,199 |
0.940 |
$4,886.84 |
$268.83 |
+5.8% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? |
No |
4,393 |
0.969 |
$4,254.30 |
$81.26 |
+1.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9,386 |
0.365 |
$3,425.78 |
$190.79 |
+5.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
4,015 |
0.825 |
$3,312.15 |
$-75.06 |
-2.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
3,000 |
0.963 |
$2,887.51 |
$25.51 |
+0.9% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.885 |
$2,212.51 |
$337.50 |
+18.0% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,803 |
0.967 |
$1,743.30 |
$102.76 |
+6.3% |
| Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? |
No |
1,434 |
0.810 |
$1,161.74 |
$100.40 |
+9.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
872 |
0.705 |
$614.89 |
$22.78 |
+3.8% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
700 |
0.820 |
$574.00 |
$14.00 |
+2.5% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
609 |
0.875 |
$532.78 |
$33.49 |
+6.7% |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? |
No |
532 |
0.961 |
$510.90 |
$28.99 |
+6.0% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.949 |
$474.25 |
$54.25 |
+12.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
463 |
1.000 |
$462.43 |
$7.17 |
+1.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
652 |
0.705 |
$459.95 |
$68.50 |
+17.5% |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? |
No |
540 |
0.845 |
$456.25 |
$79.88 |
+21.2% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? |
No |
443 |
0.986 |
$436.58 |
$15.73 |
+3.7% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? |
Yes |
336 |
0.919 |
$308.90 |
$17.91 |
+6.2% |