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Trader leaderboard/VARGANT

VARGANT

0x34eaa915aecc3076b0b3c8719abc687366ed3955
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
2W / 5L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
4W / 6L
Trades (30d)
10
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.62
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.72
$5 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
1.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $208 · all-time $153,190

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.3% 57W/66L 99 $825
⚽ Sports 60.0% 18W/12L 28 $123
🏛 Politics 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $22
💵 Economy 2 $11
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1
🤖 Tech 1 $14
🌤 Weather 1 $14
🔬 Science 1 $14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 696 0.065 $45.27 $-66.16 -59.4%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 25 0.895 $22.38 $2.25 +11.2%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes 99 0.215 $21.18 $-0.68 -3.1%
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 185 0.070 $12.93 $-22.04 -63.0%
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes 159 0.075 $11.94 $-7.16 -37.5%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 15 0.606 $9.09 $-1.19 -11.5%
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 11 0.820 $8.69 $0.21 +2.5%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 10 0.745 $7.45 $-0.02 -0.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 6 0.865 $5.19 $-0.09 -1.7%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 5 0.990 $4.95 $0.46 +10.3%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 5 0.961 $4.80 $0.08 +1.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.465 $4.65 $-1.35 -22.5%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 19 0.160 $3.07 $-1.34 -30.4%
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.070 $0.72 $-5.76 -88.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes 9 0.044 $0.40 $-0.60 -60.0%
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.230 $0.38 $0.16 +76.9%