| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,414 |
0.885 |
$2,135.96 |
$19.99 |
+0.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,620 |
0.976 |
$1,580.98 |
$-4.80 |
-0.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,340 |
0.990 |
$1,325.94 |
$3.77 |
+0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.983 |
$884.70 |
$-3.40 |
-0.4% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
850 |
0.870 |
$739.17 |
$-38.73 |
-5.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.972 |
$680.41 |
$8.00 |
+1.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
850 |
0.750 |
$637.52 |
$-30.37 |
-4.5% |
| Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
638 |
0.925 |
$590.36 |
$6.73 |
+1.2% |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
597 |
0.925 |
$552.50 |
$7.53 |
+1.4% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.993 |
$496.25 |
$4.75 |
+1.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
500 |
0.875 |
$437.50 |
$4.72 |
+1.1% |
| Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
380 |
0.935 |
$355.30 |
$5.70 |
+1.6% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
545 |
0.585 |
$318.82 |
$17.43 |
+5.8% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
360 |
0.875 |
$314.72 |
$1.80 |
+0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
350 |
0.880 |
$308.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.3% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.993 |
$297.91 |
$2.00 |
+0.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.815 |
$285.21 |
$-8.79 |
-3.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.915 |
$274.50 |
$1.50 |
+0.5% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.650 |
$194.99 |
$-53.00 |
-21.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by August 31? |
No |
195 |
0.985 |
$191.98 |
$4.78 |
+2.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.949 |
$189.80 |
$10.40 |
+5.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$2.67 |
+1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1T by August 31? |
No |
132 |
0.970 |
$128.03 |
$12.88 |
+11.2% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
310 |
0.410 |
$127.06 |
$9.30 |
+7.9% |