| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.957 |
$76.52 |
$6.75 |
+9.7% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
340 |
0.080 |
$27.20 |
$-4.40 |
-13.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.945 |
$18.90 |
$0.70 |
+3.8% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Yes |
90 |
0.080 |
$7.20 |
$-3.54 |
-33.0% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? |
Yes |
30 |
0.190 |
$5.70 |
$-1.60 |
-21.9% |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.054 |
$3.81 |
$-3.04 |
-44.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
15 |
0.180 |
$2.70 |
$-2.85 |
-51.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.395 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.2% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.065 |
$1.95 |
$-1.65 |
-45.8% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.930 |
$1.82 |
$0.29 |
+19.2% |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? |
Yes |
23 |
0.036 |
$0.83 |
$-0.31 |
-27.0% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.017 |
$0.82 |
$0.02 |
+3.1% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
18 |
0.033 |
$0.57 |
$-1.33 |
-70.0% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
No |
65 |
0.007 |
$0.49 |
$-6.47 |
-93.0% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
120 |
0.003 |
$0.30 |
$-0.28 |
-48.3% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
390 |
0.001 |
$0.19 |
$-1.20 |
-86.1% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.002 |
$0.10 |
$-1.41 |
-93.1% |