| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
18,748 |
0.075 |
$1,406.09 |
$-382.31 |
-21.4% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
Yes |
7,066 |
0.080 |
$565.31 |
$-480.81 |
-46.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? |
Yes |
6,297 |
0.065 |
$409.28 |
$-286.28 |
-41.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,619 |
0.195 |
$315.73 |
$-103.64 |
-24.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
5,292 |
0.055 |
$291.06 |
$26.46 |
+10.0% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
Yes |
2,561 |
0.075 |
$192.09 |
$15.08 |
+8.5% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
804 |
0.110 |
$88.40 |
$-18.08 |
-17.0% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.060 |
$60.00 |
$-99.58 |
-62.4% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? |
Yes |
966 |
0.045 |
$43.48 |
$-38.76 |
-47.1% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.780 |
$39.00 |
$-1.12 |
-2.8% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
50 |
0.740 |
$37.00 |
$-7.25 |
-16.4% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.715 |
$35.73 |
$-6.97 |
-16.3% |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? |
No |
94 |
0.350 |
$32.90 |
$23.50 |
+250.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? |
Yes |
80 |
0.405 |
$32.40 |
$-10.40 |
-24.3% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.635 |
$31.75 |
$-4.75 |
-13.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
91 |
0.335 |
$30.35 |
$8.27 |
+37.5% |
| Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.775 |
$26.68 |
$23.92 |
+868.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
565 |
0.038 |
$21.77 |
$-0.85 |
-3.8% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
50 |
0.415 |
$20.75 |
$-20.25 |
-49.4% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
933 |
0.017 |
$15.86 |
$6.14 |
+63.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? |
Yes |
238 |
0.055 |
$13.09 |
$-17.84 |
-57.7% |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? |
Yes |
60 |
0.175 |
$10.50 |
$-12.10 |
-53.5% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? |
No |
36 |
0.273 |
$9.88 |
$6.98 |
+240.6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
672 |
0.013 |
$8.74 |
$-10.61 |
-54.8% |
| Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? |
Yes |
40 |
0.195 |
$7.80 |
$-4.00 |
-33.9% |