PnL (30d)

−$46

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

956W / 3,301L · 206 open

Win Return (30d)

24%

1,048W / 3,377L · 38 open

Trades (30d)

4,463

across 2,384 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.02

avg win $23 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.98

$2,300 won / $2,346 lost

Reward / Risk

21.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$286

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.5% 956W/3,301L	2384	$59,533
🌤 Weather	17.4% 4W/19L	15	$453
🏛 Politics	60.1% 104W/69L	10	$12,637
💵 Economy	60.1% 104W/69L	10	$12,637
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$401
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$156

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	2	0.984	$1.49	$0.02	+1.7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	1	0.991	$1.47	$0.01	+0.9%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	1	0.987	$1.45	$-0.01	-0.3%