| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
962 |
0.880 |
$846.67 |
$63.14 |
+8.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,299 |
0.278 |
$637.97 |
$64.51 |
+11.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
660 |
0.935 |
$617.12 |
$49.70 |
+8.8% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
453 |
0.930 |
$421.09 |
$7.39 |
+1.8% |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? |
No |
448 |
0.915 |
$409.98 |
$23.11 |
+6.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
510 |
0.750 |
$382.50 |
$-30.60 |
-7.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
390 |
0.975 |
$380.06 |
$6.71 |
+1.8% |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
353 |
0.979 |
$345.49 |
$24.15 |
+7.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.77 |
$15.75 |
+5.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
326 |
0.935 |
$305.05 |
$22.14 |
+7.8% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
365 |
0.830 |
$302.95 |
$51.13 |
+20.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.945 |
$283.50 |
$36.50 |
+14.8% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.929 |
$278.85 |
$37.55 |
+15.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.915 |
$274.51 |
$17.50 |
+6.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
370 |
0.735 |
$271.94 |
$-1.85 |
-0.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
335 |
0.745 |
$249.57 |
$18.63 |
+8.1% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
No |
279 |
0.875 |
$244.56 |
$29.51 |
+13.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
270 |
0.862 |
$232.80 |
$10.10 |
+4.5% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
226 |
0.920 |
$207.87 |
$18.27 |
+9.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
210 |
0.981 |
$205.91 |
$11.55 |
+5.9% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.960 |
$192.00 |
$11.00 |
+6.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$5.00 |
+2.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$12.60 |
+7.4% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
280 |
0.635 |
$177.80 |
$-10.40 |
-5.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
180 |
0.935 |
$168.24 |
$8.90 |
+5.6% |