0x33c1eA839E61ec9920dCed96973cf5e24664e8B3-1770205722882
0x33c1ea839e61ec9920dced96973cf5e24664e8b3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$164
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$60
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
12W / 0L · 28 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
32W / 5L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
40
across 8 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$82.07
avg win $82
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,518 · all-time $719,376
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.125 |
$187.50 |
$-7.50 |
-3.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
900 |
0.105 |
$94.50 |
$-31.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
Yes |
2,075 |
0.045 |
$94.41 |
$-64.83 |
-40.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
437 |
0.165 |
$72.11 |
$-15.29 |
-17.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
437 |
0.145 |
$63.37 |
$-15.30 |
-19.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
332 |
0.095 |
$31.51 |
$2.66 |
+9.2% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
150 |
0.115 |
$17.25 |
$0.75 |
+4.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
175 |
0.095 |
$16.63 |
$-15.75 |
-48.6% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
94 |
0.085 |
$7.99 |
$0.47 |
+6.2% |