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Trader leaderboard/StudyPrediction

StudyPrediction

0x33bcb6e9bd44be709122b2940c55e34f1a7e37dc
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$111
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 59L
Trades (30d)
59
across 1 markets · ~59 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $52,171 · all-time $28,563,974

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.1% 3,485W/1,216L 2043 $654,725
⚽ Sports 83.5% 323W/64L 288 $31,295
🎬 Culture 3 $1,717
🌤 Weather 1 $39,068
🔬 Science 1 $39,068

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 31,475 0.962 $30,278.93 $2,314.54 +8.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 20,000 0.723 $14,450.00 $4,450.00 +44.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 20,000 0.278 $5,550.00 $-4,450.00 -44.5%
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No 2,827 0.835 $2,360.24 $12.41 +0.5%
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 1,000 0.924 $924.00 $-6.00 -0.6%
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South? No 1,266 0.725 $917.85 $-3.67 -0.4%
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 813 0.915 $743.44 $4.06 +0.5%
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No 654 0.905 $591.48 $22.02 +3.9%
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? Yes 1,000 0.375 $375.00 $-5.00 -1.3%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 200 0.970 $194.00 $13.50 +7.5%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 200 0.934 $186.80 $12.80 +7.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 200 0.865 $173.00 $37.00 +27.2%
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 182 0.910 $166.00 $0.09 +0.1%
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No 176 0.780 $137.45 $1.76 +1.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 200 0.645 $129.00 $27.00 +26.5%
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No 107 0.920 $98.27 $36.45 +59.0%
EU dissolves before 2027? No 100 0.978 $97.82 $2.80 +2.9%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 100 0.845 $84.50 $52.50 +164.1%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200 0.405 $81.00 $-7.00 -8.0%
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? No 80 0.870 $69.63 $0.80 +1.2%
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No 85 0.695 $58.78 $0.41 +0.7%
FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs. PFC Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 56 0.995 $55.71 $0.28 +0.5%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 56 0.995 $55.71 $0.28 +0.5%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 56 0.995 $55.71 $0.28 +0.5%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 98 0.555 $54.21 $-13.99 -20.5%