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Trader

0x33b3b135660b97b4ba65dad30bf07c7d2281d03d
PnL (30d)
+$78
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$425
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
23W / 23L · 155 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
61W / 140L
Trades (30d)
201
across 35 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$3.90
avg win $417 · loss $615
Profit Factor
1.02
$5,002 won / $4,924 lost
Reward / Risk
0.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$91
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,289 · all-time $166,168

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 23W/23L 35 $15,140
🎬 Culture 27.3% 3W/8L 7 $1,473
🤖 Tech 4 $1,581
🏛 Politics 1 $125
💵 Economy 1 $775

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 1,078 0.999 $1,076.32 $28.02 +2.7%
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.970 $969.49 $-2.23 -0.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,000 0.785 $785.00 $9.87 +1.3%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No 1,679 0.465 $780.71 $-316.71 -28.9%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 1,000 0.675 $674.85 $-105.74 -13.5%
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? No 848 0.755 $640.03 $131.99 +26.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 500 0.910 $455.00 $27.10 +6.3%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 469 0.850 $398.63 $-13.16 -3.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? No 500 0.770 $385.00 $49.64 +14.8%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 995 0.200 $198.96 $-68.97 -25.7%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No 164 0.875 $143.50 $20.50 +16.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 500 0.165 $82.50 $-42.51 -34.0%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday 42 0.951 $40.36 $5.06 +14.3%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 60 0.595 $35.70 $-0.90 -2.5%
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 20 0.950 $19.00 $0.20 +1.1%
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 14 0.555 $7.55 $6.60 +692.9%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 5 0.615 $3.08 $-0.27 -8.2%