PnL (30d)

−$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

1W / 1L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

11W / 21L

Trades (30d)

32

across 8 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.66

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.34

$1 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

0.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 1W/1L	8	$40
₿ Crypto	—	3	$15
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1
💵 Economy	—	1	$1

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8,866	0.021	$189.72	$-344.45	-64.5%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,599	0.026	$119.58	$-322.04	-72.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3,499	0.025	$87.49	$-195.18	-69.0%
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,956	0.018	$86.73	$-120.51	-58.2%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,607	0.029	$46.60	$-122.73	-72.5%
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,334	0.029	$38.02	$-58.32	-60.5%
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	899	0.028	$25.17	$-49.33	-66.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	843	0.022	$18.97	$-13.50	-41.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	604	0.018	$11.18	$-13.00	-53.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.013	$6.75	$-0.25	-3.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	611	0.009	$5.19	$-3.97	-43.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.95	$-0.05	-5.0%