| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
180 |
0.865 |
$155.39 |
$6.47 |
+4.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
154 |
0.959 |
$147.99 |
$-0.23 |
-0.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
129 |
0.935 |
$120.85 |
$3.78 |
+3.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
76 |
0.989 |
$75.01 |
$2.21 |
+3.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
69 |
0.940 |
$64.72 |
$0.80 |
+1.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
174 |
0.356 |
$62.16 |
$-5.32 |
-7.9% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.895 |
$56.23 |
$0.23 |
+0.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
210 |
0.215 |
$45.25 |
$-134.03 |
-74.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
109 |
0.165 |
$18.04 |
$-7.91 |
-30.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.210 |
$15.14 |
$-16.82 |
-52.6% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
398 |
0.037 |
$14.91 |
$2.63 |
+21.4% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,227 |
0.004 |
$7.79 |
$-29.00 |
-78.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
57 |
0.117 |
$6.69 |
$-0.12 |
-1.7% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
110 |
0.029 |
$3.25 |
$0.98 |
+43.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
13 |
0.235 |
$2.98 |
$-3.69 |
-55.4% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
106 |
0.025 |
$2.70 |
$0.12 |
+4.7% |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
3 |
0.976 |
$2.47 |
$0.57 |
+30.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
23 |
0.095 |
$2.16 |
$-0.83 |
-27.8% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
Yes |
16 |
0.073 |
$1.19 |
$-1.85 |
-60.8% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
18 |
0.040 |
$0.69 |
$-0.01 |
-1.3% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-26.93 |
-99.9% |