| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
No |
640 |
0.825 |
$527.80 |
$21.49 |
+4.2% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? |
No |
426 |
0.952 |
$404.94 |
$51.03 |
+14.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
89 |
0.935 |
$83.27 |
$7.17 |
+9.4% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.925 |
$59.87 |
$30.86 |
+106.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
153 |
0.325 |
$49.68 |
$-3.92 |
-7.3% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
128 |
0.370 |
$47.27 |
$5.75 |
+13.8% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.705 |
$45.87 |
$13.84 |
+43.2% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
66 |
0.595 |
$39.32 |
$17.26 |
+78.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.835 |
$26.54 |
$3.24 |
+13.9% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
No |
30 |
0.700 |
$21.00 |
$-0.60 |
-2.8% |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.740 |
$7.14 |
$2.12 |
+42.3% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.415 |
$6.84 |
$-1.40 |
-17.0% |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.840 |
$5.77 |
$-0.14 |
-2.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.790 |
$5.52 |
$0.50 |
+9.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.765 |
$3.71 |
$0.76 |
+25.5% |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? |
No |
3 |
0.845 |
$2.90 |
$-0.19 |
-6.1% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.949 |
$2.14 |
$1.33 |
+165.7% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
3 |
0.715 |
$1.94 |
$0.03 |
+1.4% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? |
Yes |
26 |
0.066 |
$1.69 |
$-10.47 |
-86.1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.080 |
$1.20 |
$-0.15 |
-11.1% |