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Trader leaderboard/boligendan

boligendan

0x335f5761882fb8094f8edf33036fdd547b7c51c4
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 5 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.09
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.93
$6 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
1.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,802 · all-time $64,201

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 68W/68L 59 $6,841
🏛 Politics 84.0% 21W/4L 5 $517
💵 Economy 100.0% 21W/0L 2 $118
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $4
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $98

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,122 0.117 $130.70 $-18.80 -12.6%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 125 0.984 $123.39 $1.78 +1.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 159 0.542 $86.26 $-5.64 -6.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 81 0.885 $71.37 $21.37 +42.7%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 91 0.715 $64.97 $8.65 +15.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 75 0.835 $62.57 $2.75 +4.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 76 0.745 $56.73 $7.23 +14.6%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 54 0.966 $52.40 $2.90 +5.9%
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No 52 0.974 $50.80 $1.30 +2.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 51 0.985 $50.28 $0.28 +0.6%
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No 51 0.979 $49.42 $-0.08 -0.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 41 0.977 $40.35 $0.12 +0.3%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 30 0.810 $23.97 $2.07 +9.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 31 0.458 $14.32 $-0.77 -5.1%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 41 0.095 $3.94 $-14.31 -78.4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? No 700 0.001 $0.35 $-5.79 -94.3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? Yes 155 0.001 $0.08 $-1.31 -94.4%