| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.660 |
$56.59 |
$27.44 |
+94.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
56 |
0.715 |
$40.39 |
$11.02 |
+37.5% |
| Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? |
No |
37 |
0.990 |
$36.16 |
$6.74 |
+22.9% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.740 |
$35.93 |
$6.31 |
+21.3% |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.980 |
$34.98 |
$5.34 |
+18.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
55 |
0.605 |
$33.17 |
$3.56 |
+12.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.830 |
$32.83 |
$3.16 |
+10.7% |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027? |
No |
37 |
0.865 |
$31.67 |
$2.75 |
+9.5% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
34 |
0.915 |
$31.18 |
$1.53 |
+5.2% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.955 |
$31.17 |
$2.12 |
+7.3% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.775 |
$31.16 |
$2.21 |
+7.6% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
No |
44 |
0.715 |
$31.16 |
$1.53 |
+5.1% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.255 |
$31.15 |
$1.83 |
+6.2% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.895 |
$31.03 |
$1.91 |
+6.5% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? |
No |
34 |
0.914 |
$30.68 |
$1.07 |
+3.6% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
34 |
0.903 |
$30.55 |
$0.96 |
+3.3% |
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.390 |
$30.51 |
$0.78 |
+2.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.905 |
$30.50 |
$0.84 |
+2.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.935 |
$30.46 |
$0.81 |
+2.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.925 |
$30.46 |
$0.82 |
+2.8% |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.945 |
$30.34 |
$0.80 |
+2.7% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.940 |
$30.22 |
$0.64 |
+2.2% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? |
No |
31 |
0.958 |
$30.15 |
$0.52 |
+1.8% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.915 |
$30.15 |
$0.49 |
+1.7% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.925 |
$30.13 |
$0.49 |
+1.6% |