PnL (30d)

+$225

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$154

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

124W / 1,163L · 174 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

127W / 1,334L

Trades (30d)

1,461

across 188 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$1.49

avg win $123 · loss $16

Profit Factor

1.11

$2,344 won / $2,120 lost

Reward / Risk

7.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$522

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.6% 124W/1,163L	188	$7,179
🏛 Politics	18.3% 15W/67L	33	$385
🎬 Culture	19.7% 15W/61L	30	$355
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/6L	3	$30
🌤 Weather	—	2	$11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	200	0.085	$17.00	$-5.00	-22.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	300	0.045	$13.50	$-2.50	-15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	540	0.025	$13.50	$-4.48	-24.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$-1.50	-10.7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.710	$7.10	$-0.50	-6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.635	$6.35	$0.45	+7.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	290	0.021	$6.21	$-21.59	-77.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	7	0.700	$4.90	$0.49	+11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	8	0.560	$4.48	$-0.16	-3.4%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.010	$4.00	$-3.50	-46.7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	150	0.023	$3.45	$-0.65	-15.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	500	0.006	$3.25	$-19.15	-85.5%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,280	0.003	$3.20	$-4.60	-59.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.002	$3.00	$-1.00	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,930	0.002	$2.89	$-18.97	-86.8%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,900	0.002	$2.85	$-1.35	-32.1%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	500	0.004	$2.25	$-2.25	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	400	0.005	$2.20	$-0.20	-8.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	870	0.003	$2.17	$-17.26	-88.8%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,305	0.001	$2.15	$-6.08	-73.9%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.10	$-0.10	-4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.185	$1.85	$-2.05	-52.6%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,100	0.002	$1.65	$-1.75	-51.5%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,220	0.001	$1.61	$-5.35	-76.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,150	0.001	$1.57	$-10.78	-87.3%