lowrisk24
0x3238761f20d804b6ae5776e94cdefd79ca313291
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$209
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$53
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
27W / 33L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
32W / 67L
Trades (30d)
99
across 7 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$52.16
avg win $192 · loss $134
Profit Factor
0.48
$192 won / $401 lost
Reward / Risk
1.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,003 · all-time $7,287,955
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
5,986 |
0.830 |
$4,968.68 |
$-121.06 |
-2.4% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
No |
3,665 |
0.855 |
$3,133.52 |
$18.32 |
+0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,529 |
0.840 |
$2,964.33 |
$438.55 |
+17.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.886 |
$1,772.99 |
$79.00 |
+4.7% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
1,500 |
0.968 |
$1,451.25 |
$7.97 |
+0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.00 |
$45.00 |
+5.7% |