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Trader leaderboard/Bellsprout

Bellsprout

0x323401ddadeab26148e9626cc8c33e972e718400
PnL (30d)
−$218
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-67.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
5W / 37L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
7W / 39L
Trades (30d)
46
across 30 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$8.07
avg win $10 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.18
$48 won / $266 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $54,574

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 11.9% 5W/37L 30 $423
⚽ Sports 33.3% 1W/2L 3 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 420 0.125 $52.50 $-11.50 -18.0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 125 0.298 $37.32 $28.82 +338.9%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No 25 0.680 $17.00 $2.90 +20.6%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 25 0.670 $16.75 $0.75 +4.7%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes 50 0.320 $16.00 $4.60 +40.4%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 25 0.205 $5.12 $-4.88 -48.8%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes 120 0.043 $5.12 $-5.99 -53.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 81 0.055 $4.46 $-10.94 -71.1%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 10 0.445 $4.45 $-1.25 -21.9%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 45 0.075 $3.38 $-3.38 -50.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 27 0.115 $3.12 $-7.74 -71.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes 50 0.051 $2.57 $-4.57 -64.0%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes 88 0.022 $1.97 $-3.03 -60.5%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes 10 0.070 $0.70 $-0.39 -35.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 25 0.028 $0.70 $-3.05 -81.3%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes 10 0.036 $0.34 $-0.66 -65.6%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 6 0.037 $0.22 $-0.78 -77.9%