PnL (30d)

+$14

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$22

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

8W / 8L · 111 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

33W / 94L

Trades (30d)

127

across 13 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$2.07

avg win $7 · loss $5

Profit Factor

2.07

$28 won / $14 lost

Reward / Risk

1.55

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 8W/8L	13	$285
⚽ Sports	—	2	$12
💵 Economy	—	2	$20
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	15,000	0.002	$22.50	$-2.12	-8.6%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	13,500	0.002	$20.25	$-9.59	-32.1%
Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	3,650	0.003	$10.95	$-2.35	-17.6%
Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	3,444	0.003	$8.61	$-0.55	-6.0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,764	0.002	$4.15	$1.38	+50.0%