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Trader leaderboard/avger

avger

0x3129813a51d43026d3f7a4d0d6b0e189857f22ed
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$987
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$97
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-33.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
12W / 23L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
14W / 23L
Trades (30d)
37
across 31 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$34.02
avg win $65 · loss $94
Profit Factor
0.42
$712 won / $1,699 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $538 · all-time $590,371

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.1% 14W/31L 37 $4,926
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $107

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 378 0.940 $355.42 $55.42 +18.5%
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 294 0.935 $274.82 $77.18 +39.1%
Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 496 0.431 $214.14 $109.95 +105.5%
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 273 0.770 $210.00 $60.00 +40.0%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 200 0.999 $199.70 $79.70 +66.4%
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 500 0.260 $130.00 $30.00 +30.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 150 0.865 $129.75 $12.75 +10.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.209 $20.95 $-8.05 -27.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.117 $11.65 $-7.35 -38.7%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Yes 4,000 0.003 $10.00 $-10.00 -50.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 17 0.460 $7.92 $-2.08 -20.8%
Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 157 0.003 $0.39 $-30.93 -98.8%
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes 204 0.001 $0.10 $-38.45 -99.7%