| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
9,888 |
0.865 |
$8,553.05 |
$307.87 |
+3.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
13,020 |
0.540 |
$7,037.31 |
$527.31 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
13,020 |
0.460 |
$5,982.69 |
$-527.31 |
-8.1% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
834 |
0.981 |
$817.86 |
$15.43 |
+1.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat? |
Yes |
470 |
0.945 |
$444.45 |
$1.94 |
+0.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
912 |
0.455 |
$414.81 |
$14.81 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat? |
Yes |
398 |
0.969 |
$385.32 |
$12.32 |
+3.3% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? |
No |
277 |
0.935 |
$258.91 |
$0.85 |
+0.3% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
429 |
0.515 |
$221.15 |
$30.17 |
+15.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
287 |
0.675 |
$193.94 |
$18.91 |
+10.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
135 |
0.992 |
$134.00 |
$33.80 |
+33.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
233 |
0.485 |
$112.79 |
$15.59 |
+16.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
121 |
0.865 |
$104.65 |
$6.65 |
+6.8% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.933 |
$98.37 |
$4.37 |
+4.6% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
101 |
0.863 |
$87.53 |
$8.18 |
+10.3% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
56 |
0.925 |
$52.04 |
$42.48 |
+444.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
217 |
0.210 |
$45.62 |
$-9.38 |
-17.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.900 |
$36.00 |
$4.80 |
+15.4% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.835 |
$24.47 |
$7.97 |
+48.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
121 |
0.143 |
$17.37 |
$6.23 |
+56.0% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
17 |
0.835 |
$14.39 |
$12.09 |
+525.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
105 |
0.117 |
$12.26 |
$-7.74 |
-38.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.270 |
$11.57 |
$5.57 |
+92.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.110 |
$11.00 |
$-7.00 |
-38.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.088 |
$8.85 |
$3.85 |
+77.0% |